Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.001729 0.001802 0.001879 0.001964 0.002057 0.002156 0.002269
2025-06-08 0.001626 0.001734 0.001850 0.001986 0.002143 0.002319 0.002535
2025-06-15 0.001546 0.001676 0.001821 0.001998 0.002210 0.002462 0.002790
2025-06-22 0.001465 0.001608 0.001771 0.001976 0.002232 0.002547 0.002981
2025-06-29 0.001395 0.001545 0.001721 0.001947 0.002236 0.002606 0.003140
2025-07-06 0.001344 0.001501 0.001688 0.001933 0.002256 0.002684 0.003331
2025-07-13 0.001273 0.001428 0.001616 0.001864 0.002196 0.002647 0.003348
2025-07-20 0.001238 0.001398 0.001593 0.001856 0.002217 0.002720 0.003539
2025-07-27 0.001215 0.001381 0.001587 0.001869 0.002264 0.002835 0.003811
2025-08-03 0.001184 0.001352 0.001563 0.001855 0.002273 0.002891 0.003993
2025-08-10 0.001167 0.001341 0.001561 0.001871 0.002325 0.003018 0.004323
2025-08-17 0.001142 0.001318 0.001542 0.001862 0.002337 0.003082 0.004546
2025-08-24 0.001112 0.001288 0.001513 0.001839 0.002330 0.003116 0.004725
2025-08-31 0.001103 0.001284 0.001520 0.001866 0.002402 0.003293 0.005252
2025-09-07 0.001089 0.001274 0.001517 0.001880 0.002452 0.003439 0.005761
2025-09-14 0.001065 0.001250 0.001494 0.001862 0.002451 0.003490 0.006052
2025-09-21 0.001040 0.001223 0.001467 0.001836 0.002434 0.003508 0.006262
2025-09-28 0.001021 0.001204 0.001449 0.001824 0.002439 0.003568 0.006618
2025-10-05 0.000986 0.001163 0.001400 0.001762 0.002356 0.003445 0.006384
2025-10-12 0.000971 0.001149 0.001388 0.001756 0.002367 0.003515 0.006782
2025-10-19 0.000963 0.001143 0.001387 0.001767 0.002410 0.003656 0.007485
2025-10-26 0.000947 0.001127 0.001371 0.001754 0.002410 0.003705 0.007890
2025-11-02 0.000941 0.001123 0.001373 0.001769 0.002459 0.003870 0.008870